Blog Archives

Oprah Winfrey’s Decision to Abandon Traditional Weight Loss Treatments in Favor of Pharmaceutically Driven Options Will Likely Accelerate Prescription Flows for Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly.

Oprah Winfrey’s public statements, and decision to step away from the Weight Watcher’s brand, is as clear an indication of the shift away from lifestyle choices towards weight management, in favor of pharmaceutical options, as can be intimated. There really

Posted in Open Blog

Geopolitical Risk Modeling on Russian Invasion of Ukraine may not pay Enough Heed to a Munitions Problem.

Investment modeling attempts to take into account as many variables as possible, but almost never starts with a clean slate. There is always a posit at the outset, and modeling either refutes it, supports it or straddles the fence. Modeling

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Grupo Chedraui (CHDRAUIB.MX, $7.84 USD) Raises Dividend, Forecasts Improved Operating Margins in 2024 and Provides Color on Supercito Format.

The Grupo Chedraui Q4 conference call offered insights that suggest management has designs on mimicking the highly successful ALDI format, in Mexico. The Supercito banner in Mexico operated by Grupo Chedraui represents a relatively novel venture. Small footprint local grocers,

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The Cigna Group (CI-NYSE, $316.62) Raises 2024 Guidance, Beats on 2023 Earnings and Increases Dividend.

Cigna announced the sale of their Medicare Advantage business, with a planned close in 2025. The pending sale represents the complete exit by Cigna from government payor retiree healthcare programs. At a potential all-in price of $3.7 billion, the profit

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Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM-NYSE, $110.18 US) Provides a 2024 Revenue Forecast +20% above 2023 Rates.

TSM, the world’s largest contract chip manufacturer, surpassed analyst expectations for the final quarter of 2023. Revenue was $19.62 billion US, down 4.6% from the prior year. Earnings, at $1.44 per share, were down 23% from the $1.87 US reported

Posted in Open Blog
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